DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 8, 2015
Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu meets President Barack Obama at the White House on Monday, Nov. 9, after four grave setbacks: Deepenng Russian and Iranian military intervention in Syria inching up to Israel’s borders; Bashar Assad’s survival against all predictions; the strengthening of the Islamic State; and a deadly Palestinian terror campaign pervading the country. Even if they agree on Israel’s security needs in the coming years and the scale of US military aid, Middle East volatility may quickly obviate all forecasts.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 5, 2015
Based on wrong intelligence analyses of the Syrian conflict, the Israeli government is at a loss for a Syrian policy, giving the advantage of Iran. Against all predictions, Hizballah has shaped up from a militia to a proper army.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 10, 2015
Early Sunday morning, Oct. 11, the Palestinian campaign of terror took a sharp, dangerous turn: A young female suicide bomber was stopped on her way to Jerusalem driving a vehicle packed with explosive devices. When a police van on the Maaleh Adummim road to Jerusalem ordered her to pull over for an inspection, she threw an explosive device shouting Allah Akhbar! The policeman was hurt and she was badly injured.
The woman turned out to have been a suicide bomber on her way to carry out a multiple-casualty suicide attack in Jerusalem.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 8, 2015
The notion of a regional accommodation for the Palestinian issue is a non-starter because the relevant Arab rulers of Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia are too busy with their own problems. Israel must cope alone with Palestinian terror.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 8, 2015
Binyamin Netanyahu and Moshe Ya’alon seemed to believe that an order to Jewish cabinet ministers and Knesset members Thursday, Oct. 8, to stop visiting Temple Mount would be the winning step for de-escalating the current Palestinian rock-throwing, firebomb and stabbing rampage. They were wrong. No sooner was the order released than it became a boomerang. Israeli Arab lawmakers announced that they would visit Temple Mount and Al Aqsa regardless. And two stabbing attacks followed in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis October 7, 2015
After the Israeli cabinet launched measures Tuesday, Oct. 6, for “strengthening anti-terror defense” – such as cameras in the sky - and officials labored to spread word that the surge of Palestinian violence of the past week was beginning to ebb, Israel was hit that night from the offside by a vicious pro-Palestinian upheaval in the Tel Aviv suburb of Jaffa. This was part of the backlash for Netanyahu’s “calm and responsible” approach to Palestinian terror, which mutinous ministers are calling “soft” and which Palestinians regard as Israeli weakness.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 1, 2015
Binyamin Netanyahu has personally handpicked Air Force chief Gen. Amir Eshel as the next Director of Mossad, after choosing Ronny Alsheikh, Dept. Shin Bet chief as the next police commissioner.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 1, 2015
Russia evades coordination with the US and Israel for its operations in Syria, spelling chaos in the overcrowded Syrian sky.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 24, 2015
Netanyahu gave Putin evidence that Iran was upgrading Hizballah’s arsenal for destroying Israel and plotting a terror front from the Golan. The Russian leaders was unmoved, refused to hear of any interference with Russia’s tight coordination with Iran in Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 24, 2015
The launching Thursday, Sept. 24, of joint offensive operations by Russian marines and Hizballah special forces on the ISIS-held Kweiris air base – revealed here by debkafile - runs counter to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s assurances to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu just three days earlier that Russian marines in Syria would not fight with Hizballah. This new development places the Syrian war on an unprecedented and dangerous path for the United States and Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 22, 2015
The headlines claiming that the Russian and Israeli armies have agreed to establish a coordination center for their operations in Syria, run way past Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s disclosure, after his talks with President Vladimir Putin Monday, Sept. 21: He spoke of agreement on “a mechanism to prevent misunderstandings and clashes.” The gap reflects the absence of tangible plans for real coordination between the continuously-ramped up Russian forces in Syria and the IDF, because neither army means to level with the other in advance of its operations.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 21, 2015
As Binyamin Netanyahu heads to Moscow for critical talks with Vladimir Putin, the impending arrival of S-300 anti-aircraft missiles in Syria raises serious questions about Russia’s real intentions in the country. Israel faces dilemmas in dealing with this and other unexplained aspects of the Russian buildup. Netanyahu has taken the bold step of taking with him to the Kremlin IDF chief of staff Lt. Gen. Gady Eisenkot and the head of military intelligence, Maj. Gen. Hertzi Halevi. debkafile reports that Putin will be attended by his national security advisor, Nikolai Patrushev.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 20, 2015
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has approved tougher rules of engagement for security forces grappling with the latest surge of Palestinian terror, ready for the security cabinet’s endorsement Sunday, Sept. 20. First cleared with the State Attorney was the use of the Ruger rifle by Jerusalem police. This weapon fires light 0.22 (5.59mm) bullets packed with a small amount of explosive which can cause injury within a 100m radius. It may used only in life-threatening situations, such as stoning and firebomb attacks. The new rules are effective for all parts of Israel.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 16, 2015
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will discuss with President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Sept. 21 the continued Israeli Air Force freedom of action against threats coming from Syria. This would necessitate coordination between the Russian and Israeli air commands to avoid accidental collisions between their warplanes. A deal on these lines, tacitly agreed between Washington and Moscow, enables US air strikes against ISIS. But Israel faces more complex threats derving from the Iranian and Hizballah presence in Syria, on which Putin may dig in his heels.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 15, 2015
Three dates are landmarks of a new outbreak of armed Palestinian terror against Israel: On Aug. 30, an army-police squad rounding up terrorist suspects was waylaid in the Jenin refugee camp by fierce gangs armed with rocks, iron bars and firebombs. On Sept. 13, an Israeli car was stoned in Jerusalem, killing the driver Alexander Levlovitch, 64. The next day, Palestinian gangs fought Israeli police guards on Temple Mount with rocks, blocks of concrete and iron bars. Since Israeli troops were told to fire in the air opposite Palestinian violence, terror has escalated sharply, undeterred by legal measures.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 13, 2015
Weeks ago, President Vladimir discreetly offered Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu a deal for Moscow to undertake responsibility for guarding Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields against possible Iranian or Hizballah sabotage, along with Russian investment of $7-10 billion for developing Leviathan and building a pipeline to Turkey, debkafile reports. Netanyahu did not give him a clear answer. The Russian military buildup in Syria meanwhile radically alters Israel’s strategic landscape in respect of its posture on Syria, the gas fields’ vulnerability and foreign investment prospects for development.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 6, 2015
Three agents bear direct responsibility for the genocidal Syrian war – and the refugee crisis: Bashad Assad, Iran and Russia; and the fourth, the US, by dereliction. Israel stayed out of it, except for supporting a rebel-held strip of southern Syria as a buffer against Iranian, Hizballah or Syrian army encroachment on its northern borders. More than 1,000 wounded Syrian rebels and civilians were treated in Israeli hospitals. Now, too, the Netanyahu government has determined to stay clear of the Syrian refugee crisis. for a number of reasons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 4, 2015
The crowing over Barack Obama’s success in gaining congressional support for his Iranian nuclear deal against Binyamin Netanyahu’s defeat is premature. The Vienna nuclear deal of June 14 was the first round of the game. More are still to come, before either can be said to have won or lost. The biggest hurdle is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s silence on where he stands, except for insisting on immediate sanctions relief. Netanyahu and AIPAC are fully fired up to take their campaign against a nuclear-armed Iran to the next stage: the fight over sanctions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
While preparing for the first time to send Russian military forces to Syria to fight ISIS, Putin doesn’t forget the energy card. He offers Netanyahu a deal: Russian military protection for Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields in return for a stake in pipeline construction.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 21, 2015
Israel’s top government and military went on a high level of preparedness Tuesday, Aug. 18 in expectation of the first terrorist attack to be orchestrated by Iran from Syrian or Lebanese borders. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu declared from the Golan: “We will harm anyone trying to harm us.” It was the new Iranian-backed network which Thursday, Aug. 20, fired a salvo for four rockets from the Golan into upper Galilee and the Golan. The impact set off brush fires but caused no casualties. A red alert had sent people running to shelters.